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Hatayspor vs Arnavutkoy Bl. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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2. Lig White Group Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin
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Match Events

53' Event
Yildiz A.
Assist: Uzel B.
80' Event
Ozgun T.
90'
Turan B.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group game between Hatayspor and Arnavutkoy Bl. finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hatayspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hatayspor
15%
Draws
0%
Arnavutkoy Bl.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hatayspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Arnavutkoy Bl. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hatayspor a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 20%
Arnavutkoy Bl. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hatayspor Arnavutkoy Bl.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.72 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Hatayspor vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hatayspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildiz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ozgun T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arnavutkoy Bl. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hatayspor 67 / 100
Arnavutkoy Bl. 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hatayspor Arnavutkoy Bl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hatayspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnavutkoy Bl.'s recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hatayspor scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Arnavutkoy Bl. has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hatayspor VS Arnavutkoy Bl.
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hatayspor

(Home)
07 Oct
Hatayspor
1 : 2
Karakopru
03 Oct
Isparta 32 Spor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
13 Sept
Corluspor
0 : 0
Hatayspor
Page 1 of 6

Arnavutkoy Bl.

(Away)
04 Oct
Kastamonuspor
2 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
19 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
0 : 2
Corluspor
12 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
1 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 5 4 1 0 15:7 13
2 Aliaga 5 4 0 1 12:9 12
3 Elazigspor 5 3 1 1 12:4 10
4 Corluspor 5 3 1 1 11:5 10
5 Guzide Gebzespor 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
6 Menemenspor 5 3 0 2 7:7 9
7 Inegol Kafkas 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
8 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
9 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
10 Isparta 32 Spor 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Sanliurfaspor 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Ankaraspor 5 2 0 3 3:6 6
13 Aksaray Bld. 5 1 2 2 9:8 5
14 Kastamonuspor 5 2 0 3 4:13 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 5 0 0 5 2:11 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3 2:4 -2
18 Adanademirspor 5 1 1 3 3:9 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)