Sport Picks

Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin

Hatayspor

2 - 3

Erciyes 38

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Yasak C.

63'

Bamgboye F.

75'

Bamgboye F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Erciyes 38 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Hatayspor

20%

Draws

61%

Erciyes 38

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Erciyes 38 come out ahead of Hatayspor on wins alone.
61% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Erciyes 38 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Erciyes 38, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Hatayspor Clean Sheet 19%

Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hatayspor	Erciyes 38
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	3	14
Draws	4	7
Losses	21	7
Goals Scored	0.71	1.54
Goals Conceded	2.39	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Turkish Cup

Hatayspor vs Erciyes 38

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hatayspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamgboye F.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasak C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ekinci S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hatayspor 32 / 100

Erciyes 38 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hatayspor Erciyes 38

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Erciyes 38's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Hatayspor found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (28 games).

Hatayspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hatayspor VS Erciyes 38

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hatayspor

(Home)

03 Oct

Isparta 32 Spor

1 : 0

Hatayspor

27 Sept

Hatayspor

2 : 0

Arnavutkoy Bl.

20 Sept

Kastamonuspor

1 : 0

Hatayspor

13 Sept

Corluspor

0 : 0

Hatayspor

06 Sept

Hatayspor

0 : 2

Guzide Gebzespor

Page 1 of 6

Erciyes 38

(Away)

03 Oct

Osmaniyespor

2 : 4

Erciyes 38

27 Sept

Erciyes 38

2 : 1

Kirikkale FK

19 Sept

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

0 : 0

Erciyes 38

12 Sept

Erciyes 38

2 : 1

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

06 Sept

Agri 1970

0 : 1

Erciyes 38

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Karakopru 7

Hakkari Zap 1

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0

Bitlis 1916 3

TBD -

Rizespor -

Duzcespor -

TBD -

Pendikspor -

Corluspor -

TBD -

Ayvalikgucu -

Silifke -

TBD -

K. Istklalspor 2

Kilis Bld. 1

TBD -

Amedspor -

Antalyaspor -

TBD -

Etimesgut 0

Karadeniz Eregli 1

Bursaspor 7

Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu 0

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Kastamonuspor -

TBD -

Yozgat 1

Fatsa Bld. 2

TBD -

Vanspor FK -

Bucaspor 1928 0

Izmir Coruhlu 2

Isparta 32 Spor 4

Kirsehir SK 0

Silivrispor -

TBD -

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2

TBD -

Goztepe -

Dersim Spor 3

Adanaspor AS 0

Kurtalanspor 1

Sanliurfaspor 4

Kestel Cilekspor 2

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1

Fethiyespor 2

Soke 1970 0

TBD -

Bandirmaspor -

Musspor 8

Sirnak 0

TBD -

Mazidagi -

Menemenspor -

TBD -

Bartinspor 1

Eskisehir Anadolu 3

Konyaspor -

TBD -

Elazigspor -

TBD -

12 Bingol Spor 3

Mardin 1969 0

Arnavutkoy Bl. 2

Buyukcekmece Gucu 3

TBD -

Karacabey Bld. -

Malatya 5

Yeni Malatyaspor 0

TBD -

Adana 01 -

TBD -

Kocaelispor -

Kirklarelispor 1

Galata Spor Kulubu 2

TBD -

Beykoz Anadolu -

Balikesirspor -

TBD -

Yesil Yalova FK 2

Gemlikspor 0

Gaziantep -

TBD -

Ankaragucu 2

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 3

Guzide Gebzespor 6

Bulvarspor 2

Kars 36 Spor 0

24Erzincanspor 1

Bulancakspor 2

Hopaspor 1

TBD -

Igdir FK -

TBD -

Orduspor 1967 -

TBD -

Erbaaspor 2

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1

TBD -

Pazarspor -

Sakaryaspor -

TBD -

Kucukcekmece -

TBD -

Inegolspor 2

Ezinespor 0

TBD -

Genclerbirligi -

Istanbulspor AS -

TBD -

Bayburt Ozel Idare 0

Giresunspor 7

TBD -

52 Orduspor -

TBD -

Sariyer -

Boluspor -

TBD -

Kahta 2

Iskenderunspor 1

TBD -

Adanademirspor -

TBD -

Kasimpasa -

Erokspor -

TBD -

Agri 1970 -

TBD -

Batman Petrolspor -

TBD -

F. Karagumruk -

Eyupspor -

TBD -

Edirnespor Genclik 0

Soma Spor 3

1926 Polatli Belediye 1

Cankaya FK 2

Amasyaspor -

TBD -

Trabzon FK 4

Serhat Ardahanspor 0

Kahramanmarasspor 1

Osmaniyespor 0

Karaman FK 2

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 1

TBD -

Umraniyespor -

TBD -

Erzurumspor FK -

Corum FK -

TBD -

Kutahyaspor -

TBD -

Altinordu -

Karsiyaka -

TBD -

Bursa Yildirimspor 2

Altay 0

TBD -

Alanyaspor -

Bucak Belediyesi 1

Kepez Bld. 2

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 2

Nazillispor 0

Sivasspor -

TBD -

Cayeli SK 1

Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 2

Bornova 1877 3

Afyonspor 0

Aliaga 2

Inegol Kafkas 1

TBD -

Serik Spor -

Hatayspor -

TBD -

Erciyes 38 2

Turk Metal 1963 0

TBD -

Keciorengucu -

Kayserispor -

TBD -

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0

Nigde 2

TBD -

Aksaray Bld. -

Kirikkale FK -

TBD -

Manisa FK -

Ankaraspor 1

Eskisehirspor 2

Alanya 1221 0

Muglaspor 3

1074 Cankirispor 0

Ankara Demirspor 3

TBD -

Zonguldak Komurspor -

Tire 2021 FK -

TBD -

Bodrumspor -

Quarter-finals

Karakopru 2

Bitlis 1916 1

TBD -

Rizespor -

Duzcespor 3

Pendikspor 4

Corluspor 2

Ayvalikgucu 1

Silifke 7

K. Istklalspor 1

TBD -

Amedspor -

Antalyaspor -

TBD -

Karadeniz Eregli 1

Bursaspor 2

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Kastamonuspor 3

Fatsa Bld. 4

TBD -

Vanspor FK -

Izmir Coruhlu 0

Isparta 32 Spor 3

Silivrispor 1

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2

TBD -

Goztepe -

Dersim Spor 2

Sanliurfaspor 0

Kestel Cilekspor 0

Fethiyespor 1

TBD -

Bandirmaspor -

Musspor 5

Mazidagi 0

Menemenspor 2

Eskisehir Anadolu 1

Konyaspor -

TBD -

Elazigspor 2

12 Bingol Spor 3

Buyukcekmece Gucu 0

Karacabey Bld. 2

Malatya 3

Adana 01 2

TBD -

Kocaelispor -

Galata Spor Kulubu 1

Beykoz Anadolu 5

Balikesirspor 1

Yesil Yalova FK 2

Gaziantep -

TBD -

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1

Guzide Gebzespor 0

24Erzincanspor 0

Bulancakspor 2

TBD -

Igdir FK -

Orduspor 1967 -

TBD -

Erbaaspor 2

Pazarspor 0

Sakaryaspor -

TBD -

Kucukcekmece 1

Inegolspor 3

TBD -

Genclerbirligi -

Istanbulspor AS -

TBD -

Giresunspor 1

52 Orduspor 2

TBD -

Sariyer -

Boluspor -

TBD -

Kahta 2

Adanademirspor 1

TBD -

Kasimpasa -

Erokspor -

TBD -

Agri 1970 4

Batman Petrolspor 1

TBD -

F. Karagumruk -

Eyupspor -

TBD -

Soma Spor 1

Cankaya FK 3

Amasyaspor 0

Trabzon FK 1

Kahramanmarasspor 1

Karaman FK 0

TBD -

Umraniyespor -

TBD -

Erzurumspor FK -

Corum FK -

TBD -

Kutahyaspor 3

Altinordu 1

Karsiyaka 0

Bursa Yildirimspor 1

TBD -

Alanyaspor -

Kepez Bld. 1

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0

Sivasspor 2

Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 1

Bornova 1877 0

Aliaga 6

TBD -

Serik Spor -

Hatayspor 2

Erciyes 38 3

TBD -

Keciorengucu -

Kayserispor -

TBD -

Nigde 3

Aksaray Bld. 1

Kirikkale FK 0

Manisa FK 2

Eskisehirspor 0

Muglaspor 3

Ankara Demirspor 2

Zonguldak Komurspor 3

Tire 2021 FK 0

Bodrumspor 1

Semi-finals

Karakopru 0

Rizespor 3

Pendikspor 3

Corluspor 2

Silifke 3

Amedspor 0

Antalyaspor 3

Bursaspor 0

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Fatsa Bld. 3

Vanspor FK 4

Isparta 32 Spor 0

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2

TBD -

Goztepe -

Dersim Spor 0

Fethiyespor 3

TBD -

Bandirmaspor -

Musspor 1

Menemenspor 0

Konyaspor 4

12 Bingol Spor 2

Karacabey Bld. 3

Malatya 1

TBD -

Kocaelispor -

Beykoz Anadolu 1

Yesil Yalova FK 3

Gaziantep 2

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0

Bulancakspor 1

Igdir FK 3

Orduspor 1967 4

Erbaaspor 2

Sakaryaspor 4

Inegolspor 0

TBD -

Genclerbirligi -

Istanbulspor AS -

TBD -

52 Orduspor 0

Sariyer 2

Boluspor -

TBD -

Kahta 3

Kasimpasa 1

Erokspor 3

Agri 1970 0

TBD -

F. Karagumruk -

Eyupspor -

TBD -

Cankaya FK 2

Trabzon FK 0

Kahramanmarasspor 4

Umraniyespor 0

TBD -

Erzurumspor FK -

Corum FK 3

Kutahyaspor 0

Bursa Yildirimspor 1

Alanyaspor 2

Kepez Bld. 1

Sivasspor 3

Aliaga 4

Serik Spor 3

Erciyes 38 2

Keciorengucu 5

Kayserispor 1

Nigde 0

Manisa FK 0

Muglaspor 2

Zonguldak Komurspor 0

Bodrumspor 5

Final

Rizespor 6

Pendikspor 1

Silifke 0

Antalyaspor 1

Trabzonspor 2

Vanspor FK 0

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1

Goztepe 0

Fethiyespor 4

Bandirmaspor 1

Musspor 1

Konyaspor 4

Karacabey Bld. 1

Kocaelispor 2

Yesil Yalova FK 0

Gaziantep 2

Igdir FK 3

Orduspor 1967 2

Sakaryaspor 0

Genclerbirligi 5

Istanbulspor AS 6

Sariyer 0

Boluspor 2

Kahta 1

Erokspor 2

F. Karagumruk 5

Eyupspor 6

Cankaya FK 1

Kahramanmarasspor 1

Erzurumspor FK 3

Corum FK 0

Alanyaspor 5

Sivasspor 1

Aliaga 3

Keciorengucu 2

Kayserispor 0

Muglaspor 1

Bodrumspor 2

Hatayspor vs Erciyes 38

Turkey

Hatayspor

Erciyes 38

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Hatayspor Compare

Erciyes 38 Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Hatayspor

Erciyes 38

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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