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Hatayspor vs Erokspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ulas O.
Assist: Alic E.
36'
Beyaz O.
46'
Sub
Durmushan U. In: Aksoy D.
Out: Durmushan U.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Hatayspor and Erokspor finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erokspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hatayspor
40%
Draws
29%
Erokspor
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erokspor come out ahead of Hatayspor on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Erokspor have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 10%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hatayspor Erokspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Erokspor
0:5
Sep 12, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Hatayspor
4:1
Sep 26, 2018 Turkish Cup
Hatayspor vs Erokspor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hatayspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Erokspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Faye M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ulas O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hatayspor 30 / 100
Erokspor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hatayspor Erokspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Erokspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Hatayspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hatayspor's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hatayspor VS Erokspor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hatayspor

(Home)
01 May
Hatayspor
3 : 1
Vanspor FK
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2
Hatayspor
18 Apr
Hatayspor
1 : 1
Sakaryaspor
11 Apr
Sariyer
4 : 0
Hatayspor
07 Apr
Hatayspor
4 : 0
Adanademirspor
Page 1 of 6

Erokspor

(Away)
24 May
Erokspor
0 : 2
Corum FK
02 May
Erokspor
1 : 1
Pendikspor
26 Apr
Sariyer
1 : 0
Erokspor
19 Apr
Erokspor
1 : 0
Keciorengucu
13 Apr
Sakaryaspor
1 : 2
Erokspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)