Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Havadar SC vs Fard

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026 Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, Tehran
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ghaseminejad A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Havadar SC and Fard finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Havadar SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Havadar SC
20%
Draws
40%
Fard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Havadar SC come out ahead of Fard on wins alone.
  • Model gives Havadar SC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Havadar SC Clean Sheet 68%
Fard Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Havadar SC Fard
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 15 15
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Azadegan League
Havadar SC vs Fard
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Fard vs Havadar SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Havadar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghaseminejad A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havadar SC 51 / 100
Fard 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Havadar SC Fard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Havadar SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Havadar SC scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Fard has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Havadar SC VS Fard
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Havadar SC

(Home)
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
11 Jul
Havadar SC
2 : 2
Naft Gachsaran
03 Jul
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Havadar SC
27 Jun
Havadar SC
4 : 1
Damash Gilan
21 Jun
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 1
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 7

Fard

(Away)
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0
Fard
11 Jul
Fard
0 : 1
Mazandaran
03 Jul
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 2
Fard
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1
Saipa
21 Jun
Niroye Zamini
0 : 2
Fard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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