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Havant & Waterlooville vs Poole Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Campbell R.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Havant & Waterlooville and Poole Town finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poole Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Havant & Waterlooville
15%
Draws
80%
Poole Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Poole Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Poole Town taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 12%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Havant & Waterlooville Poole Town
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Poole Town
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Havant & Waterlooville
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Poole Town
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Poole Town
2:1
Oct 15, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Havant & Waterlooville
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Poole Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havant & Waterlooville 10 / 100
Poole Town 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Havant & Waterlooville Poole Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poole Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Havant & Waterlooville scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Poole Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Havant & Waterlooville remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Havant & Waterlooville VS Poole Town
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Havant & Waterlooville

(Home)
10 Oct
Wimborne
6 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1
Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
19 Sept
Bracknell Town
2 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 6

Poole Town

(Away)
10 Oct
Poole Town
1 : 0
Bracknell Town
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
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