Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Havant & Waterlooville vs Swindon Supermarine

England England

Southern League Premier South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kealy C.
34' Event
Williams H.
43' Event
Fernandes M.

AI Match Summary

Havant & Waterlooville in this Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Havant & Waterlooville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Havant & Waterlooville
6%
Draws
4%
Swindon Supermarine
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Havant & Waterlooville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Havant & Waterlooville has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Swindon Supermarine.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Havant & Waterlooville.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 20%
Swindon Supermarine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Havant & Waterlooville Swindon Supermarine
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 4
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Swindon Supermarine
3:2
Aug 24, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Swindon Supermarine vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:1
Sep 27, 2014 FA Cup
Havant & Waterlooville vs Swindon Supermarine
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer Seager R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kealy C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Swindon Supermarine Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havant & Waterlooville 85 / 100
Swindon Supermarine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Havant & Waterlooville Swindon Supermarine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Havant & Waterlooville scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Swindon Supermarine let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Havant & Waterlooville went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Swindon Supermarine lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Havant & Waterlooville VS Swindon Supermarine
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Merthyr Town4227105105:4691
2AFC Totton422513485:3588
3Walton & Hersham422411790:5483
4Gloucester City422114781:5377
5Dorchester421918575:4875
6Havant & Waterlooville4221111084:4974
7Hungerford4216111563:5559
8Hanwell Town4215131458:6258
9Taunton Town4213181164:5857
10Wimborne4215121549:5657
11Sholing4214101859:6852
12Gosport Borough4213121753:6151
13Plymouth Parkway421482063:7750
14Poole Town4213101948:6249
15Basingstoke4211151662:6448
16Chertsey Town421452367:8247
17Tiverton4212111939:7147
18Bracknell Town4211131857:7246
19Winchester City4212102054:7446
20Swindon Supermarine421282260:7844
21Frome Town429132039:6040
22Marlow42563145:11521