Sport Picks

England

Southern League Premier South

Havant & Waterlooville

1 - 3

Yate

Our Tip

Match Events

Mannings R.

35'

Seager R.

49'

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Havant & Waterlooville and Yate finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Havant & Waterlooville

20%

Draws

38%

Yate

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Havant & Waterlooville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Havant & Waterlooville carry the better recent record into this one.
Havant & Waterlooville are the model's pick here, at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 16%

Yate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Havant & Waterlooville	Yate
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	5	6
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	2.25	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier South

Havant & Waterlooville vs Yate

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Dec 13, 2025 Southern League Premier South

Yate vs Havant & Waterlooville

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer Seager R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Yate Compare

Top Goalscorer Mannings R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Taylor A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havant & Waterlooville 41 / 100

Yate 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Havant & Waterlooville Yate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Yate conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Havant & Waterlooville scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Havant & Waterlooville stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Havant & Waterlooville VS Yate

2.25 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Walton & Hersham	42	29	5	8	94:42	92
2	Farnham	42	25	9	8	90:50	84
3	Gloucester City	42	25	7	10	93:51	82
4	Poole Town	42	21	12	9	80:50	75
5	Berkhamsted Town	42	21	9	12	62:50	72
6	Sholing	42	18	15	9	74:53	69
7	Chertsey Town	42	19	10	13	64:55	67
8	Gosport Borough	42	19	6	17	74:75	63
9	Uxbridge	42	15	14	13	74:70	59
10	Havant & Waterlooville	42	17	7	18	78:70	58
11	Plymouth Parkway	42	16	8	18	64:79	56
12	Bracknell Town	42	15	10	17	70:71	55
13	Yate	42	14	10	18	57:62	52
14	Hanwell Town	42	14	10	18	57:63	52
15	Wimborne	42	12	15	15	63:62	51
16	Taunton Town	42	14	9	19	65:70	51
17	Basingstoke	42	14	9	19	61:71	51
18	Evesham	42	11	14	17	51:62	47
19	Weymouth	42	13	8	21	53:71	47
20	Dorchester	42	9	13	20	48:79	40
21	Hungerford	42	9	11	22	47:87	38
22	Tiverton	42	5	3	34	39:115	18