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Haverfordwest vs Briton Ferry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Bates M.
59' Event
Hurford C.
60'
Sub
Rees L. In: Ahmun B.
Out: Rees L.

AI Match Summary

Haverfordwest in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haverfordwest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Haverfordwest
20%
Draws
36%
Briton Ferry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haverfordwest lately — more wins on the board than Briton Ferry.
  • Win probability leans Haverfordwest's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Haverfordwest have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 68%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Briton Ferry
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Briton Ferry
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Briton Ferry
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Haverfordwest
0:2
Jan 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Briton Ferry
2:3
Aug 25, 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Haverfordwest
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haverfordwest Compare

Top Goalscorer Hawkins D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shephard C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Briton Ferry Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurford C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 95 / 100
Briton Ferry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Briton Ferry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haverfordwest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Haverfordwest scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Briton Ferry conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Haverfordwest went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Briton Ferry
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

Briton Ferry

(Away)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)