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Haverfordwest vs Caerau Ely - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Haverfordwest and Caerau Ely finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haverfordwest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Haverfordwest
15%
Draws
57%
Caerau Ely
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerau Ely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Caerau Ely haven't matched Haverfordwest's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Caerau Ely taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Haverfordwest here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 11%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Caerau Ely
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 15 13
Draws 1 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Haverfordwest vs Caerau Ely
2:1
Nov 30, 2019 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Haverfordwest
0:2
Aug 17, 2019 Cymru South
Haverfordwest vs Caerau Ely
5:0
May 12, 2018 Division 1
Caerau Ely vs Haverfordwest
1:3
Nov 18, 2017 Division 1
Haverfordwest vs Caerau Ely
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 14 / 100
Caerau Ely 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Caerau Ely

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerau Ely Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Haverfordwest's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Caerau Ely let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Haverfordwest stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Caerau Ely
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
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Caerau Ely

(Away)
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
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