Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Haverfordwest vs Caerau Ely

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Haverfordwest and Caerau Ely finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haverfordwest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Haverfordwest
20%
Draws
36%
Caerau Ely
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Caerau Ely haven't matched Haverfordwest's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Haverfordwest taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Haverfordwest here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 20%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Caerau Ely
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.55 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Haverfordwest vs Caerau Ely
2:1
Nov 30, 2019 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Haverfordwest
0:2
Aug 17, 2019 Cymru South
Haverfordwest vs Caerau Ely
5:0
May 12, 2018 Division 1
Caerau Ely vs Haverfordwest
1:3
Nov 18, 2017 Division 1
Haverfordwest vs Caerau Ely
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 49 / 100
Caerau Ely 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Caerau Ely

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haverfordwest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Haverfordwest's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Caerau Ely let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Haverfordwest stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Caerau Ely
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
14 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3
Penybont
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
01 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
25 Jul
Haverfordwest
8 : 0
Llanelli
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Caerau Ely
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Caerau Ely

(Away)
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4
Caerau Ely
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4
Barnstaple Town
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Caerau Ely
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