Sport Picks
Haverfordwest vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest 
AI Match Summary
Haverfordwest host Caernarfon in the Cymru Premier. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Caernarfon have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Haverfordwest have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Haverfordwest slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2025, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.50) point toward Haverfordwest. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Haverfordwest carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Caernarfon's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Haverfordwest | Caernarfon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Haverfordwest scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Caernarfon conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Haverfordwest has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Haverfordwest
(Home)Caernarfon
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Connahs Q. | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:14 | 22 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Cambrian United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 9 | Llandudno FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 14 | Trefelin | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:27 | 3 |
| 15 | Ammanford Town | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:31 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12:36 | 2 |
