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Haverfordwest vs Cardiff Corries - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Haverfordwest have averaged 1.56 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Cardiff Corries's 1.85 scored and 2.42 conceded. Past meetings favor Haverfordwest slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2012, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.29 - 1.31) back Haverfordwest to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Haverfordwest
15%
Draws
49%
Cardiff Corries
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff Corries

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Haverfordwest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Haverfordwest a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Haverfordwest have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 18%
Cardiff Corries Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Cardiff Corries
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 19 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.56 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2012 Division 1
Haverfordwest vs Cardiff Corries
2:2
Oct 22, 2011 Division 1
Cardiff Corries vs Haverfordwest
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 40 / 100
Cardiff Corries 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Cardiff Corries

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haverfordwest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Corries has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Haverfordwest found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

Away concern: Cardiff Corries has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Cardiff Corries
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2
Caernarfon
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 8

Cardiff Corries

(Away)
30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0
Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Cardiff Corries
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4
Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Cardiff Corries
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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