Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Haverfordwest vs Undy

Wales Wales

League Cup 2021/2022 Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Jones-Thomas M.
29' Event
Sisay A. T.
48' Event
Sisay A. T.

AI Match Summary

Haverfordwest in this League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Haverfordwest
15%
Draws
0%
Undy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Undy haven't matched Haverfordwest's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Haverfordwest's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Haverfordwest have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Haverfordwest, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 20%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Undy
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 5
Draws 2 2
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 1.68 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2021 League Cup
Haverfordwest vs Undy
5:0
Mar 28, 2020 Cymru South
Haverfordwest vs Undy
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 Cymru South
Undy vs Haverfordwest
1:0
Apr 30, 2019 Division 1
Undy vs Haverfordwest
1:1
Oct 27, 2018 Division 1
Haverfordwest vs Undy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haverfordwest Compare

Top Goalscorer Sisay A. T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jones-Thomas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Undy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 85 / 100
Undy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Undy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haverfordwest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Undy conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Undy lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Haverfordwest scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Undy
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
Page 1 of 7

Undy

(Away)
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4
Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4
Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7
Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0
Undy
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Llanidloes Town 2
Gresford 3
Bangor City 4
Holyhead 0
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Cambrian United 4
Carmarthen Town 1
TBD -
Newtown -
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llandudno FC 4
Denbigh 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Guilsfield 1
TBD -
Buckley -
Llangefni 1
Prestatyn 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Conwy Borough -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Undy -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Pure Swansea -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Ammanford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Barry Town -
TBD -
Llanelli 5
Newport 0
Trefelin 2
Taffs Well 0
Llantwit Major 3
Risca United 4
Llanrhaeadr 1
Penrhyncoch 4
TBD -
TNS -
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Afan Lido 0
Briton Ferry 2
Pontypridd United 3
1/16-finals
Gresford 0
Bangor City 1
Flint Town 1
Bala 2
Cambrian United 2
Newtown 4
Ruthin Town 0
Caernarfon 3
Llandudno FC 0
Connahs Q. 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Buckley 2
Prestatyn 3
Cefn Druids 0
Conwy Borough 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Haverfordwest 3
Goytre Utd 0
Undy 2
Pure Swansea 1
Aberystwyth 2
Penybont 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Barry Town 5
Llanelli 0
Trefelin 2
Risca United 0
Penrhyncoch 2
TNS 1
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Pontypridd United 2
1/8-finals
Bangor City 0
Bala 1
Newtown 5
Caernarfon 0
Connahs Q. 6
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Prestatyn 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Haverfordwest 5
Undy 0
Aberystwyth 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Barry Town 3
Trefelin 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Pontypridd United 3
Quarter-finals
Bala 3
Newtown 1
Connahs Q. 4
Holywell Town FC 0
Haverfordwest 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Barry Town 7
Pontypridd United 1
Semi-finals
Bala 1
Connahs Q. 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Barry Town 2
Final
Connahs Q. 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0