Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Tadele B.
87'
87'
Gebreyes I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sheger Ketema FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hawassa average 0.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Sheger Ketema FC's 0.86.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 29%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hawassa | Sheger Ketema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Sheger Ketema FC
1:1
Dec 25, 2025 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs Hawassa
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hawassa Compare
Top Goalscorer Tadele B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Sheger Ketema FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Gebreyes I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hawassa 34 / 100
Sheger Ketema FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hawassa Sheger Ketema FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sheger Ketema FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hawassa's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Hawassa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Sheger Ketema FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Hawassa VS Sheger Ketema FC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hawassa
(Home) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
16 May
Hawassa
0 : 0 Arba Menche
04 May
Hawassa
1 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 3
Sheger Ketema FC
(Away) 02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2 Sheger Ketema FC
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0 Mechal SC
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2 Sheger Ketema FC
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
15 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
04 May
Hawassa
1 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
