Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hawassa vs Sheger Ketema FC

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Tadele B.
87' Event
Gebreyes I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hawassa
39%
Draws
30%
Sheger Ketema FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sheger Ketema FC average 0.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Hawassa's 0.5.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 26%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hawassa Sheger Ketema FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 13 14
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Sheger Ketema FC
1:1
Dec 25, 2025 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs Hawassa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hawassa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tadele B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sheger Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gebreyes I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hawassa 33 / 100
Sheger Ketema FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hawassa Sheger Ketema FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hawassa's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hawassa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sheger Ketema FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hawassa VS Sheger Ketema FC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hawassa

(Home)
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1
Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0
Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1
Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6

Sheger Ketema FC

(Away)
02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2
Sheger Ketema FC
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0
Mechal SC
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0
Sheger Ketema FC
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0
Welwalo Adigrat
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1
Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)