Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Shire Endaselassie haven't matched Hawassa's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Hawassa's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 68%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hawassa | Shire Endaselassie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Shire Endaselassie
0:0
Dec 1, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Hawassa
1:0
Jun 4, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Hawassa
1:5
Sep 27, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Shire Endaselassie
1:1
Feb 2, 2020 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Hawassa
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hawassa 46 / 100
Shire Endaselassie 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hawassa Shire Endaselassie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hawassa scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Shire Endaselassie has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Hawassa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hawassa VS Shire Endaselassie
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hawassa
(Home) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
16 May
Hawassa
0 : 0 Arba Menche
04 May
Hawassa
1 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
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Shire Endaselassie
(Away) 02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2 Sheger Ketema FC
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
29 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
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27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
21 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
09 May
Adama City
4 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
01 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
1 : 1 Shire Endaselassie
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
