Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Bekele B.
49'
49'
Hefamo T.
53'
53'
Tafesse M.
AI Match Summary
Sidama Bunna in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sidama Bunna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sidama Bunna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sidama Bunna lately — more wins on the board than Hawassa.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 20%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hawassa | Sidama Bunna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Sidama Bunna
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Hawassa
1:0
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Sidama Bunna
1:1
Sep 23, 2024 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Hawassa
0:1
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Sidama Bunna
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hawassa Compare
Top Goalscorer Hefamo T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Sidama Bunna Compare
Top Goalscorer Bekele B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tafesse M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hawassa 36 / 100
Sidama Bunna 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hawassa Sidama Bunna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sidama Bunna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hawassa found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Hawassa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Sidama Bunna has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hawassa VS Sidama Bunna
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hawassa
(Home) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
16 May
Hawassa
0 : 0 Arba Menche
04 May
Hawassa
1 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 4
Sidama Bunna
(Away) 13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0 Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
21 May
Arba Menche
0 : 3 Sidama Bunna
10 May
Sheger Ketema FC
1 : 0 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
