Sport Picks

New Zealand

Football Championship

Hawke s Bay

0 - 3

Canterbury

Our Tip

Match Events

52'

Delaney I.

68'

Coughlan G.

72'

Taguchi Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship game between Hawke s Bay and Canterbury finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canterbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Hawke s Bay

33%

Draws

40%

Canterbury

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Canterbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Hawke s Bay come out ahead of Canterbury on wins alone.
Canterbury are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Hawke s Bay Clean Sheet 11%

Canterbury Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hawke s Bay	Canterbury
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	7
Draws	5	8
Losses	17	15
Goals Scored	1.38	1.63
Goals Conceded	2	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2021 Football Championship

Canterbury vs Hawke s Bay

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Dec 6, 2020 Football Championship

Hawke s Bay vs Canterbury

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:3

Feb 9, 2020 Football Championship

Hawke s Bay vs Canterbury

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Nov 24, 2019 Football Championship

Canterbury vs Hawke s Bay

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Jan 13, 2019 Football Championship

Canterbury vs Hawke s Bay

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 0 - 1

5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hawke s Bay Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Canterbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Delaney I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Coughlan G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hawke s Bay 27 / 100

Canterbury 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hawke s Bay Canterbury

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hawke s Bay found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Hawke s Bay went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hawke s Bay VS Canterbury

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

2 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auckland City	14	8	4	2	27:13	28
2	Team Wellington	14	7	5	2	35:21	26
3	Hamilton	14	5	5	4	23:21	20
4	Eastern Suburbs	14	5	4	5	25:23	19
5	Waitakere United	14	4	6	4	28:26	18
6	Canterbury	14	5	3	6	21:24	18
7	Hawke s Bay	14	4	1	9	17:29	13
8	Wellington Phoenix 2	14	2	4	8	18:37	10