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Hawke s Bay vs Team Wellington Prediction & H2H Stats

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 29, 2020
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hawke s Bay host Team Wellington in the Football Championship 2019/2020. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Hawke s Bay at 1.54 goals for, 2.39 against; Team Wellington at 2.5 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Hawke s Bay have won 0 to Team Wellington's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2021, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 2.31) point toward Team Wellington. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Hawke s Bay
15%
Draws
71%
Team Wellington
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Team Wellington lately — more wins on the board than Hawke s Bay.
  • Team Wellington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Hawke s Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hawke s Bay Team Wellington
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.54 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2021 Football Championship
Hawke s Bay vs Team Wellington
2:2
Nov 21, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Hawke s Bay
2:1
Mar 29, 2020 Football Championship
Hawke s Bay vs Team Wellington
0:0
Jan 12, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Hawke s Bay
4:0
Feb 3, 2019 Football Championship
Hawke s Bay vs Team Wellington
3:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hawke s Bay 10 / 100
Team Wellington 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hawke s Bay Team Wellington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Hawke s Bay scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Team Wellington has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Hawke s Bay went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hawke s Bay VS Team Wellington
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hawke s Bay

(Home)
10 Mar
Hawke s Bay
1 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0
Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hawke s Bay
3 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hawke s Bay
0 : 4
Auckland City
Page 1 of 6

Team Wellington

(Away)
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4
Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1
Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2
Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
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