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Hawks vs Medina United Prediction & H2H Stats

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
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Match Events

10' Event
Colley P.
20' Event
Chatty Y.

AI Match Summary

Medina United in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Medina United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Hawks
35%
Draws
48%
Medina United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Medina United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Medina United have won more games recently than Hawks.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hawks Clean Sheet 21%
Medina United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hawks Medina United
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 16
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.09
Goals Conceded 1 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 GFA League
Medina United vs Hawks
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 GFA League
Hawks vs Medina United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hawks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Medina United Compare

Top Goalscorer Colley P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chatty Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hawks 37 / 100
Medina United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hawks Medina United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medina United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medina United has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hawks went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hawks found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Hawks VS Medina United
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hawks

(Home)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
16 Jun
TMT
1 : 1
Hawks
10 Jun
Hawks
0 : 0
Gambia Ports
05 Jun
Hawks
0 : 0
Team Rhino
25 May
Dutch Lions
3 : 1
Hawks
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Medina United

(Away)
12 Sept
Medina United
1 : 1
Star Sport Academy
05 Sept
Star Sport Academy
0 : 0
Medina United
22 Jun
Gambia Ports
0 : 1
Medina United
17 Jun
Medina United
2 : 1
Dutch Lions
12 Jun
Bombada
0 : 1
Medina United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)