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Hay al-Arab vs Al-Mergheni

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Hay al-Arab and Al-Mergheni finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Mergheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hay al-Arab
33%
Draws
27%
Al-Mergheni
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hay al-Arab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hay al-Arab come out ahead of Al-Mergheni on wins alone.
  • Hay al-Arab are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hay al-Arab Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hay al-Arab Al-Mergheni
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 14
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2025 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Al-Mergheni
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Hay al-Arab
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hay al-Arab 40 / 100
Al-Mergheni 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hay al-Arab Al-Mergheni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Hay al-Arab's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Al-Mergheni let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Hay al-Arab went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hay al-Arab VS Al-Mergheni
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75