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Hay Al Wadi vs Hilal El-Fasher

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hay Al Wadi
44%
Draws
20%
Hilal El-Fasher
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hilal El-Fasher lately — more wins on the board than Hay Al Wadi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 20%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hay Al Wadi Hilal El-Fasher
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hay Al Wadi
0:0
Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:0
Jan 13, 2026 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hay Al Wadi
1:0
Feb 18, 2023 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:4
Oct 11, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hay Al Wadi
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hay Al Wadi 36 / 100
Hilal El-Fasher 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hay Al Wadi Hilal El-Fasher

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay Al Wadi found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Hilal El-Fasher's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Hay Al Wadi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hilal El-Fasher lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hay Al Wadi VS Hilal El-Fasher
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010