Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hayes & Yeading vs Erith Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hayes & Yeading
15%
Draws
42%
Erith Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hayes & Yeading

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hayes & Yeading come out ahead of Erith Town on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Hayes & Yeading taking it.
  • Hayes & Yeading have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Erith Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hayes & Yeading Clean Sheet 18%
Erith Town Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hayes & Yeading Erith Town
Matches Played 28 16
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FA Trophy
Hayes & Yeading vs Erith Town
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hayes & Yeading 67 / 100
Erith Town 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hayes & Yeading Erith Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hayes & Yeading Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erith Town has conceded goals in 94% of their last 16 outings.

Attacking prowess: Hayes & Yeading scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Hayes & Yeading has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hayes & Yeading VS Erith Town
0.75 Goals Scored 1.17
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hayes & Yeading

(Home)
26 Sept
Hayes & Yeading
1 : 2
Erith Town
19 Sept
Dartford
4 : 2
Hayes & Yeading
12 Sept
Hayes & Yeading
3 : 1
Peacehaven & Telscombe
05 Sept
Hayes & Yeading
2 : 1
Camberley Town
29 Aug
Marlow
0 : 4
Hayes & Yeading
Page 1 of 6

Erith Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Hayes & Yeading
1 : 2
Erith Town
12 Sept
Erith Town
2 : 0
Eastbourne Town
05 Sept
SE Dons
2 : 0
Erith Town
29 Aug
Erith Town
2 : 1
Cray Valley
06 Sept
Erith Town
1 : 2
Deal Town
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 0
Wythenshawe FC 1
Blyth Spartans 2
1874 Northwich 0
Ashington 3
West Auckland Town 1
FC Guisborough Town 3
Ossett United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 0
Grimsby Borough 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 4
Mossley AFC 3
Stocksbridge 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Padiham 0
Pontefract Collieries 7
Prescot Cables 4
Vauxhall 1
Garforth 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 3
Consett 2
Liversedge 0
Bootle 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 2
Bradford PA 1
Lower Breck 4
North Ferriby FC 0
Alvechurch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newcastle Town 0
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Coleshill Town 0
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 2
St Ives Town 1
Basford Utd. 0
Bedworth United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 1
Barwell 0
Chasetown 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Lichfield City 0
Matlock 5
Lincoln Utd. 1
Nuneaton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry United 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Corby 0
Stafford 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 4
Rugby Borough 2
Carlton Town 2
Shepshed 3
Grantham Town 1
Mickleover 3
Worcester Raiders 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston Town 1
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 2
Belper Town 1
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ware 2
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 3
Lowestoft 1
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 4
Kingstonian 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Southall FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portchester 1
Whitstable Town 3
Westfield 1
Egham Town 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
Walthamstow FC 3
Leverstock Green 2
London Lions 0
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 6
Sittingbourne 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Fakenham 2
Wroxham 1
Waltham Abbey 2
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Croydon Athletic 3
Sevenoaks 2
Littlehampton 2
Raynes Park Vale 3
Haringey Borough 2
Newmarket 3
Stotfold 0
Gorleston 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 3
Margate 0
Crowborough 2
Ashford United 4
Binfield 2
Deal Town 4
Beaconsfield Town 1
Sheppey United 2
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flackwell Heath 0
Faversham 3
Punjab United 0
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Royston Town 1
Tilbury 0
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Winslow United 4
Milton Keynes Irish 3
Concord Rangers 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Marlow 0
Hayes & Yeading 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Merstham 1
Erith Town 2
Cray Valley 1
Eastbourne Town 1
Bedfont Sports 0
Potters 2
Barton 1
Little Oakley 2
Biggleswade FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island 4
Grays 1
Cambridge City 2
Redbridge 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Hendon 1
Bognor Regis 3
South Park 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Slimbridge 1
Willand Rovers 2
Falmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Steyning Town 1
Moneyfields 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
Didcot 2
Winchester City 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartpury University 4
Exmouth Town 1
Weymouth 5
Melksham 1
Portland United 3
Hungerford 1
Westbury United 0
Thame United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chichester City -
Bideford 1
Tiverton 2
Larkhall 2
Dorchester 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Semi-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
Wythenshawe FC 0
Blyth Spartans 4
Ashington 1
FC Guisborough Town 2
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 1
Prescot Cables 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 2
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 1
Bootle 5
TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Stalybridge 3
Lower Breck 2
Alvechurch -
TBD -
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Bedworth United 3
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 4
Chasetown 3
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Matlock 5
Nuneaton 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Stafford 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 3
Shepshed 0
Mickleover 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
TBD -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
TBD -
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 3
Aveley -
TBD -
Ware 2
Sudbury 0
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 0
Southall FC 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 0
Egham Town 1
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 0
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Fakenham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Croydon Athletic 3
Raynes Park Vale 0
Newmarket 5
Gorleston 2
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 1
Ashford United 3
Deal Town 3
Sheppey United 0
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
Faversham 6
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
Winslow United 5
Concord Rangers 0
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Hayes & Yeading 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 1
Erith Town 2
Eastbourne Town 0
Potters 2
Biggleswade FC 5
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island 3
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 2
Willand Rovers 3
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Moneyfields 3
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 0
Didcot 4
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hartpury University 2
Weymouth 3
Portland United 0
Thame United 2
TBD -
Chichester City -
Tiverton 3
Larkhall 0
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Final
Warrington Town 2
Ashton United 3
Hyde 2
United of Manchester 0
Workington 4
Blyth Spartans 2
FC Guisborough Town 0
Redcar Athletic 1
Dunston 0
Avro 2
Bury FC 4
Gainsborough 3
Cleethorpes 5
Lancaster 1
Guiseley 4
Bamber Bridge 2
Warrington Rylands 3
Stockton 1
Hallam 1
Prescot Cables 2
Bridlington Town 3
Whitby 0
Bootle 5
AFC Emley 0
Curzon Ashton 3
Stalybridge 1
Alvechurch 1
Bourne 2
Rushall 1
Stourbridge 3
Bedworth United 0
Redditch 1
Stamford 1
Loughborough Students 2
Worcester 0
Leek Town 2
Matlock 0
Kettering 4
Evesham 3
Stratford 1
Ilkeston 1
Anstey Nomads 3
Quorn 4
Leamington 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Banbury 3
Racing Club Warwick 0
Bromsgrove 1
Gloucester City 4
Stafford 0
Alfreton 2
Shifnal Town 1
Mickleover 2
Malvern Town 1
Halesowen 2
Wellingborough 0
Aveley 3
Ware 1
Cheshunt 1
Cray Wanderers 2
Southall FC 2
Carshalton 3
Leatherhead 3
Ramsgate 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Chatham 1
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Egham Town 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Welwyn Garden 2
Takeley 2
Hitchin 0
Hanwell Town 2
Enfield Town 4
Waltham Abbey 7
Croydon Athletic 1
Newmarket 2
Leighton Town 1
Real Bedford 0
Wingate & Finchley 3
Ashford United 0
Deal Town 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Faversham 2
Welling 2
Chertsey Town 3
Brentwood 3
Hashtag 4
Uxbridge 2
Lewes 1
Whyteleafe 1
Whitehawk 4
Burgess Hill 6
Winslow United 2
Hanworth Villa 3
Stortford 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
Erith Town 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Three Bridges 3
St. Albans 4
Bury Town 1
Canvey Island 0
Needham Market 3
Hastings 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Leiston 0
Dartford 3
Frome Town 2
Willand Rovers 1
Plymouth Parkway 0
Bath City 3
Moneyfields 1
Wimborne 3
Didcot 1
Bracknell Town 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Taunton Town 3
Poole Town 1
Basingstoke 0
Yate 0
Sholing 1
Chippenham Town 2
Weymouth 3
Thame United 1
Chichester City 2
Tiverton 1
Gosport Borough 3