Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hayq vs Lernayin Artsakh

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hayq in this First League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hayq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hayq
15%
Draws
42%
Lernayin Artsakh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hayq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Hayq have won more games recently than Lernayin Artsakh.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Lernayin Artsakh taking it.
  • Regular First League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Hayq Clean Sheet 20%
Lernayin Artsakh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hayq Lernayin Artsakh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 2 1
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 First League
Hayq vs Lernayin Artsakh
4:0
Oct 1, 2025 First League
Lernayin Artsakh vs Hayq
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hayq 28 / 100
Lernayin Artsakh 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hayq Lernayin Artsakh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lernayin Artsakh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lernayin Artsakh let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Hayq's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hayq has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hayq VS Lernayin Artsakh
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.83 Goals Conceded 3.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hayq

(Home)
24 Aug
Hayq
:
Olympia Yerevan
25 May
Ararat-Armenia 2
3 : 4
Hayq
18 May
Hayq
2 : 1
Mika
12 May
Hayq
2 : 0
Araks Ararat
05 May
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 4
Hayq
Page 1 of 6

Lernayin Artsakh

(Away)
21 Sept
Andranik
1 : 2
Lernayin Artsakh
15 Sept
Lernayin Artsakh
4 : 2
Sardarapat 2
08 Sept
Bentonit
4 : 3
Lernayin Artsakh
02 Sept
Lernayin Artsakh
5 : 0
Urartu 2
26 Aug
Lernayin Artsakh
5 : 0
EcoVille
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)