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HBS Craeyenhout vs GOES - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tromp T.
21' Event
Schalkwijk S.
56' Event
Harthoorn M.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2018/2019 game between HBS Craeyenhout and GOES finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HBS Craeyenhout.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
HBS Craeyenhout
30%
Draws
47%
GOES
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GOES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GOES come out ahead of HBS Craeyenhout on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
HBS Craeyenhout Clean Sheet 20%
GOES Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HBS Craeyenhout GOES
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2019 Derde Divisie
HBS Craeyenhout vs GOES
2:1
Sep 23, 2018 Derde Divisie
GOES vs HBS Craeyenhout
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HBS Craeyenhout Compare

Top Goalscorer Tromp T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harthoorn M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

GOES Compare

Top Goalscorer Schalkwijk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HBS Craeyenhout 31 / 100
GOES 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HBS Craeyenhout GOES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HBS Craeyenhout Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: GOES conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: HBS Craeyenhout scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: HBS Craeyenhout stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS GOES
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HBS Craeyenhout

(Home)
04 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
4 : 0
HBS Craeyenhout
01 Jun
HBS Craeyenhout
2 : 2
Watergraafsmeer
12 Jun
HBS Craeyenhout
2 : 3
SV Orion
09 Jun
SV Orion
1 : 1
HBS Craeyenhout
26 May
Dongen
0 : 6
HBS Craeyenhout
Page 1 of 6

GOES

(Away)
04 Oct
GOES
0 : 4
RKSV UDI 19
26 Sept
SV Poortugaal
0 : 3
GOES
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1
UNA
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 34 25 5 4 94:41 80
2 Quick Boys 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
3 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 21 5 8 102:47 68
4 HSV Hoek 34 19 7 8 82:55 64
5 Groningen U21 34 17 7 10 66:39 58
6 Harkemase Boys 34 17 6 11 68:59 57
7 ASWH 34 16 7 11 74:54 55
8 SteDoCo 34 17 4 13 65:56 55
9 ODIN '59 34 17 3 14 71:66 54
10 Lisse 34 16 3 15 62:64 51
11 VV DOVO 34 14 6 14 76:66 48
12 Ajax (Am) 34 12 5 17 52:61 41
13 ONS Sneek 34 12 3 19 57:58 39
14 VVOG 34 9 8 17 41:72 35
15 Eemdijk 34 9 2 23 51:87 29
16 SJC Noordwijk 34 8 2 24 50:105 26
17 De Dijk 34 4 7 23 49:111 19
18 Achilles 29 34 4 8 22 44:107 16
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Volendam 34 22 5 7 97:44 71
2 TEC 34 21 7 6 63:38 70
3 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 8 8 79:43 62
4 GOES 34 20 1 13 80:55 61
5 UNA 34 17 5 12 68:55 56
6 FC OSS '20 34 16 6 12 70:53 54
7 HV & CV Quick 34 15 5 14 67:66 50
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 13 8 13 59:57 47
9 Westlandia 34 14 4 16 59:73 46
10 Dongen 34 14 3 17 51:70 45
11 USV Hercules 34 12 8 14 55:63 44
12 HSC '21 34 14 2 18 51:73 44
13 Blauw Geel 34 12 7 15 62:65 43
14 EVV 34 11 9 14 39:43 41
15 JVC '31 Cuijk 34 12 3 19 43:77 39
16 OJC Rosmalen 34 10 5 19 49:61 35
17 KVV Quick 20 34 8 7 19 53:84 31
18 HBS Craeyenhout 34 7 7 20 37:62 28
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)