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Hearts of Oak vs Young Apostles

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 WAFA Park, Sogakope
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Duku F.
44'
Ganiwu A.
48'
Muftaw A. G.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Hearts of Oak and Young Apostles finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hearts of Oak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hearts of Oak
20%
Draws
34%
Young Apostles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts of Oak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hearts of Oak come out ahead of Young Apostles on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hearts of Oak a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Hearts of Oak have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Hearts of Oak Clean Sheet 68%
Young Apostles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts of Oak Young Apostles
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Young Apostles
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Young Apostles vs Hearts of Oak
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Young Apostles
2:0
Oct 13, 2024 Premier League
Young Apostles vs Hearts of Oak
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts of Oak Compare

Top Goalscorer Duku F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Young Apostles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts of Oak 95 / 100
Young Apostles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts of Oak Young Apostles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts of Oak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Apostles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Hearts of Oak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Young Apostles has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hearts of Oak VS Young Apostles
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts of Oak

(Home)
26 Sept
Karela
1 : 0
Hearts of Oak
20 Sept
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Bechem United
13 Sept
Bibiani Gold Stars
1 : 2
Hearts of Oak
06 Sept
Hearts of Oak
4 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
28 Aug
Asante Kotoko
0 : 0
Hearts of Oak
Page 1 of 6

Young Apostles

(Away)
27 Sept
Young Apostles
1 : 2
Heart of Lions
20 Sept
Debibi United
3 : 0
Young Apostles
13 Sept
Young Apostles
1 : 0
Holy Stars
05 Sept
Vision
3 : 0
Young Apostles
24 May
Young Apostles
2 : 0
Samartex
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)