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Hearts vs Falkirk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Hearts Logo

Hearts

3 - 0
FT
Falkirk Logo

Falkirk

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Spittal B.
29' Event
Kent F.
Assist: Kyziridis A.
34' Event
Devlin C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Hearts and Falkirk finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hearts
30%
Draws
23%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hearts come out ahead of Falkirk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hearts's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hearts Clean Sheet 17%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Falkirk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.8 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hearts
2:1
May 13, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Falkirk
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Falkirk
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup
Hearts vs Falkirk
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hearts
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Kent F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Devlin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Falkirk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 57 / 100
Falkirk 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hearts scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Falkirk let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Hearts stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Falkirk
2.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 43%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Falkirk

(Away)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 73:41 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 67:34 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 76:43 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 59:36 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 58:44 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 50:62 49
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)