Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hearts vs Inverness - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Hearts Logo

Hearts

6 - 2
FT
Inverness Logo

Inverness

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Borchgrevink C.
39'
Duncan R.
46'
Sub
Ba-Sy A. In: Wilson J.
Out: Ba-Sy A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-2. The second leg ended 6-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hearts
20%
Draws
33%
Inverness
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hearts come out ahead of Inverness on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Hearts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hearts, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hearts here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Hearts Clean Sheet 68%
Inverness Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Inverness
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.83 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 League Cup
Hearts vs Inverness
6:2
Jul 25, 2021 League Cup
Hearts vs Inverness
1:0
Apr 24, 2021 Championship
Hearts vs Inverness
3:0
Feb 26, 2021 Championship
Inverness vs Hearts
1:1
Nov 7, 2020 Championship
Hearts vs Inverness
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Borchgrevink C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mato R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Inverness Compare

Top Goalscorer Duncan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bavidge A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 41 / 100
Inverness 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Inverness

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 10:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hearts scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Inverness let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Hearts remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Inverness
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Inverness

(Away)
25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0
Morton
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Stenhousemuir 1
Motherwell 0
Hearts 6
Inverness 2
Dunfermline 1
Ross County 2
Hibernian 1
Partick 0
Rangers 5
St. Mirren 1
Dundee Utd 0
Celtic 4
Kilmarnock 3
Ayr 2
Aberdeen 3
Dundee FC 0
Quarter-finals
Stenhousemuir 0
Hearts 3
Ross County 0
Hibernian 3
Rangers 3
Celtic 0
Kilmarnock 1
Aberdeen 2
Semi-finals
Hearts -
Hibernian -
Rangers -
Aberdeen -
Final
TBD -
TBD -