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Hearts vs Inverness

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Hearts at 1.44 goals for, 1.41 against; Inverness at 1.54 for, 0.86 against. Past meetings favor Hearts slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2021, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.56 - 1.50) back Inverness to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Hearts
30%
Draws
51%
Inverness
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inverness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inverness come out ahead of Hearts on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Inverness arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hearts, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hearts here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hearts Clean Sheet 16%
Inverness Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Inverness
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.44 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2021 League Cup
Hearts vs Inverness
1:0
Apr 24, 2021 Championship
Hearts vs Inverness
3:0
Feb 26, 2021 Championship
Inverness vs Hearts
1:1
Nov 7, 2020 Championship
Hearts vs Inverness
2:1
Oct 6, 2020 League Cup
Hearts vs Inverness
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 36 / 100
Inverness 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Inverness

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inverness Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hearts scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Inverness conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Hearts remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Inverness
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
13 Aug
Hearts
1 : 1
Benfica
09 Aug
Hearts
4 : 0
Dundee Utd
06 Aug
Benfica
6 : 1
Hearts
01 Aug
Aberdeen
2 : 1
Hearts
28 Jul
Hearts
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
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Inverness

(Away)
08 Aug
Arbroath
0 : 0
Inverness
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0
Dunfermline
25 Jul
Morton
0 : 1
Inverness
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0
St Johnstone
18 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2
Inverness
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hibernian -
Partick -
Dundee Utd -
Celtic -
Hearts -
Inverness -
Dunfermline -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Motherwell -
Aberdeen -
Dundee FC -
Rangers -
St. Mirren -
Kilmarnock 3
Ayr 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -