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Hearts W vs Celtic W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 Oriam, Edinburgh
Hearts W Logo

Hearts W

4 - 1
FT
Celtic W Logo

Celtic W

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Maher-Rodgers L.
Own Goal
45' Event
Husband E.
Assist: Andrews J.
46'
Wilde M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hearts W in this SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hearts W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Hearts W
15%
Draws
53%
Celtic W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Hearts W have won more games recently than Celtic W.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Hearts W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hearts W Clean Sheet 17%
Celtic W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts W Celtic W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 1 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 3.64 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Celtic W vs Hearts W
1:2
Apr 1, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hearts W vs Celtic W
4:1
Feb 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Celtic W vs Hearts W
5:3
Feb 15, 2026 Scottish Cup Women
Hearts W vs Celtic W
3:4
Aug 17, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Hearts W vs Celtic W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts W Compare

Top Goalscorer Husband E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johns C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Celtic W Compare

Top Goalscorer Noonan S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts W 84 / 100
Celtic W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts W Celtic W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts W scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Celtic W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Hearts W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hearts W VS Celtic W
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts W

(Home)
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7
Hearts W
30 Aug
Hearts W
0 : 3
Rangers W
23 Aug
Motherwell W
0 : 5
Hearts W
16 Aug
Hearts W
6 : 0
Aberdeen W
08 Aug
Koge W
2 : 1
Hearts W
Page 1 of 6

Celtic W

(Away)
13 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Spartans W
06 Sept
Partick W
2 : 3
Celtic W
30 Aug
Celtic W
2 : 0
Hibernian W
23 Aug
Celtic W
3 : 0
Montrose W
16 Aug
Glasgow City W
1 : 2
Celtic W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hearts W 28 20 2 6 85:31 62
2 Rangers W 28 19 3 6 80:29 60
3 Glasgow City W 28 17 7 4 65:14 58
4 Hibernian W 28 16 7 5 62:23 55
5 Celtic W 28 14 6 8 62:37 48
6 Partick W 28 5 4 19 18:71 19
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)