Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hebar 2 vs Botev Ihtiman

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Ihtiman in this Third League - South-West 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botev Ihtiman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hebar 2
15%
Draws
64%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botev Ihtiman lately — more wins on the board than Hebar 2.
  • Win probability leans Botev Ihtiman's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Botev Ihtiman have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hebar 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar 2 Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2024 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Botev Ihtiman
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Hebar 2
2:1
May 18, 2022 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Hebar 2
1:2
Nov 6, 2021 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Botev Ihtiman
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 2 10 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar 2 Botev Ihtiman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Ihtiman let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Hebar 2 scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Hebar 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Botev Ihtiman
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar 2

(Home)
06 Jun
Oborishte Panagyurishte
7 : 1
Hebar 2
01 Jun
Pirin Razlog
3 : 0
Hebar 2
25 May
Vihren
3 : 0
Hebar 2
18 May
Hebar 2
3 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
11 May
Rilski Sportist
3 : 1
Hebar 2
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Botev Ihtiman

(Away)
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minyor Pernik 38 31 4 3 78:29 97
2 CSKA Sofia II 38 25 5 8 68:39 80
3 Botev Ihtiman 38 20 7 11 70:52 67
4 Vihren 38 20 6 12 66:46 66
5 Slivnishki Geroy 38 16 10 12 52:47 58
6 Levski Sofia II 38 16 8 14 61:51 56
7 Rilski Sportist 38 16 4 18 58:61 52
8 Balkan Botevgrad 38 13 11 14 63:62 50
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 38 14 7 17 57:55 49
10 Bansko 38 13 9 16 50:54 48
11 Septemvri Sofia 2 38 13 9 16 50:46 48
12 Bistritsa 38 12 11 15 30:35 47
13 Kyustendil 38 12 10 16 53:54 46
14 Slavia Sofia 2 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
15 Oborishte Panagyurishte 38 13 7 18 58:75 46
16 Septemvri Simitli 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
17 Pirin Razlog 38 13 6 19 38:55 45
18 Kostinbrod 38 11 10 17 40:63 43
19 Hebar 2 38 9 6 23 35:63 33
20 Chavdar Etropole 38 13 2 23 46:74 41
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