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Hebar 2 vs Chavdar Etropole

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024
Sat, May 18, 2024
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hebar 2 host Chavdar Etropole in the Third League - South-West 2023/2024. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Hebar 2 at 0.8 goals for, 1.77 against; Chavdar Etropole at 0.4 for, 2.63 against. Head-to-head, Hebar 2 have won 1 to Chavdar Etropole's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 18, 2024, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.67, favoring Hebar 2. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hebar 2
15%
Draws
42%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hebar 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hebar 2 lately — more wins on the board than Chavdar Etropole.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Chavdar Etropole have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Hebar 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar 2 Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 1
Losses 19 25
Goals Scored 0.8 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Chavdar Etropole
3:0
Nov 3, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Hebar 2
1:0
Mar 23, 2022 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Hebar 2
3:0
Sep 4, 2021 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Chavdar Etropole
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 2 31 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar 2 Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chavdar Etropole conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Chavdar Etropole registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hebar 2's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hebar 2 VS Chavdar Etropole
1 Goals Scored 0.13
3.2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
40% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar 2

(Home)
06 Jun
Oborishte Panagyurishte
7 : 1
Hebar 2
01 Jun
Pirin Razlog
3 : 0
Hebar 2
25 May
Vihren
3 : 0
Hebar 2
18 May
Hebar 2
3 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
11 May
Rilski Sportist
3 : 1
Hebar 2
Page 1 of 6

Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minyor Pernik 38 31 4 3 78:29 97
2 CSKA Sofia II 38 25 5 8 68:39 80
3 Botev Ihtiman 38 20 7 11 70:52 67
4 Vihren 38 20 6 12 66:46 66
5 Slivnishki Geroy 38 16 10 12 52:47 58
6 Levski Sofia II 38 16 8 14 61:51 56
7 Rilski Sportist 38 16 4 18 58:61 52
8 Balkan Botevgrad 38 13 11 14 63:62 50
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 38 14 7 17 57:55 49
10 Bansko 38 13 9 16 50:54 48
11 Septemvri Sofia 2 38 13 9 16 50:46 48
12 Bistritsa 38 12 11 15 30:35 47
13 Kyustendil 38 12 10 16 53:54 46
14 Slavia Sofia 2 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
15 Oborishte Panagyurishte 38 13 7 18 58:75 46
16 Septemvri Simitli 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
17 Pirin Razlog 38 13 6 19 38:55 45
18 Kostinbrod 38 11 10 17 40:63 43
19 Hebar 2 38 9 6 23 35:63 33
20 Chavdar Etropole 38 13 2 23 46:74 41
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