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Hebar 2 vs Minyor Pernik

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minyor Pernik in this Third League - South-West 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minyor Pernik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Hebar 2
15%
Draws
69%
Minyor Pernik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minyor Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Minyor Pernik have won more games recently than Hebar 2.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Minyor Pernik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Hebar 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar 2 Minyor Pernik
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Minyor Pernik
0:4
Sep 23, 2023 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Hebar 2
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 2 10 / 100
Minyor Pernik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar 2 Minyor Pernik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Minyor Pernik conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Hebar 2 scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Hebar 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Minyor Pernik
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar 2

(Home)
06 Jun
Oborishte Panagyurishte
7 : 1
Hebar 2
01 Jun
Pirin Razlog
3 : 0
Hebar 2
25 May
Vihren
3 : 0
Hebar 2
18 May
Hebar 2
3 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
11 May
Rilski Sportist
3 : 1
Hebar 2
Page 1 of 6

Minyor Pernik

(Away)
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0
Minyor Pernik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minyor Pernik 38 31 4 3 78:29 97
2 CSKA Sofia II 38 25 5 8 68:39 80
3 Botev Ihtiman 38 20 7 11 70:52 67
4 Vihren 38 20 6 12 66:46 66
5 Slivnishki Geroy 38 16 10 12 52:47 58
6 Levski Sofia II 38 16 8 14 61:51 56
7 Rilski Sportist 38 16 4 18 58:61 52
8 Balkan Botevgrad 38 13 11 14 63:62 50
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 38 14 7 17 57:55 49
10 Bansko 38 13 9 16 50:54 48
11 Septemvri Sofia 2 38 13 9 16 50:46 48
12 Bistritsa 38 12 11 15 30:35 47
13 Kyustendil 38 12 10 16 53:54 46
14 Slavia Sofia 2 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
15 Oborishte Panagyurishte 38 13 7 18 58:75 46
16 Septemvri Simitli 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
17 Pirin Razlog 38 13 6 19 38:55 45
18 Kostinbrod 38 11 10 17 40:63 43
19 Hebar 2 38 9 6 23 35:63 33
20 Chavdar Etropole 38 13 2 23 46:74 41
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