Sport Picks
Hebar vs Kariana Erden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Vtora liga 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
Hebar host Kariana Erden in the Vtora liga 2020/2021. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hebar have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Kariana Erden's 0.77 scored and 2.12 conceded. Past meetings favor Hebar slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 22, 2021, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 1.06) point toward Hebar. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Hebar lately — more wins on the board than Kariana Erden.
- Model gives Hebar a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hebar | Kariana Erden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 2.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hebar's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Kariana Erden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.
Difficult form: Kariana Erden registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hebar
(Home)Kariana Erden
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 66:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Lok. Sofia | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 65:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Septemvri Sofia | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 54:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Ludogorets II | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 56:38 | 50 |
| 5 | Svoge | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:36 | 49 |
| 6 | Hebar | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 50:36 | 48 |
| 7 | FC Lovech | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 35:40 | 39 |
| 9 | Minyor Pernik | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | 39 |
| 10 | Strumska Slava | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31:37 | 34 |
| 11 | Yantra Gabrovo | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 30:47 | 34 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 28:46 | 30 |
| 14 | Neftochimic Burgas | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 27:61 | 27 |
| 15 | Gorna | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 24:43 | 25 |
| 16 | Kariana Erden | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 29:59 | 31 |
