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Stadium Background

Hebar vs Ludogorets II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Georgi Benkovski
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bile E.
37' Event
Bile E.
46'
Sub
Dadakov M. In: Pavlov K.
Out: Dadakov M.

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets II in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Hebar
28%
Draws
50%
Ludogorets II
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ludogorets II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ludogorets II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hebar.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Ludogorets II.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Vtora liga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hebar Clean Sheet 13%
Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar Ludogorets II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Ludogorets II
1:2
Dec 12, 2025 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Hebar
2:1
May 8, 2022 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Ludogorets II
2:1
Nov 8, 2021 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Hebar
3:1
Apr 9, 2021 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Ludogorets II
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleksandrov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ludogorets II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bile E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 22 / 100
Ludogorets II 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar Ludogorets II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Ludogorets II let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Hebar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ludogorets II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hebar VS Ludogorets II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219