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Hebar vs Marek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hebar host Marek in the Vtora liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Hebar at 1.79 goals for, 1.5 against; Marek at 1.07 for, 0.96 against. Past meetings favor Hebar slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.25 - 1.31) back Marek to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hebar
20%
Draws
32%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Hebar haven't matched Marek's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Hebar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hebar Clean Sheet 18%
Marek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar Marek
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Marek
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Marek vs Hebar
2:0
May 14, 2022 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Marek
3:0
Nov 19, 2021 Vtora liga
Marek vs Hebar
2:0
Apr 20, 2019 Third League - South-West
Hebar vs Marek
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 85 / 100
Marek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hebar scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Hebar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Marek conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hebar VS Marek
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar

(Home)
23 Oct
Hebar
2 : 1
Nesebar
17 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 4
Hebar
10 Oct
Svoge
1 : 3
Hebar
04 Oct
Yambol 1915
0 : 5
Hebar
27 Sept
Hebar
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

Marek

(Away)
23 Oct
Vihren
1 : 1
Marek
17 Oct
Marek
0 : 3
Cherno More
10 Oct
Marek
3 : 2
Beroe
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 13 7 4 2 26:12 25
2 Vihren 13 7 4 2 26:13 25
3 Chernomorets 1919 13 7 4 2 22:9 25
4 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
5 Beroe 13 6 3 4 21:16 21
6 Hebar 13 6 2 5 29:21 20
7 Yantra Gabrovo 13 6 2 5 16:14 20
8 Gorna 13 5 5 3 11:10 20
9 Rilski Sportist 13 5 4 4 15:13 19
10 Marek 13 5 3 5 15:15 18
11 Nesebar 13 5 3 5 21:19 18
12 Spartak Pleven 13 5 2 6 14:24 17
13 Etar 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
14 Ludogorets II 11 4 3 4 12:12 15
15 Svoge 13 2 5 6 9:14 11
16 Montana 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
17 Dobrudzha 12 2 3 7 12:21 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 13 0 1 12 5:36 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)