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Hebar vs Svoge

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Dimitrov V.
49' Event
Chavorski T.
72' Event
Dimitrov V.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hebar and Svoge finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svoge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hebar
20%
Draws
80%
Svoge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svoge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Svoge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Svoge a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Svoge here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hebar Clean Sheet 19%
Svoge Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar Svoge
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.44 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Hebar
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Hebar vs Svoge
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Svoge
0:3
Oct 14, 2023 Bulgarian Cup
Svoge vs Hebar
0:1
Mar 5, 2022 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Hebar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavorski T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Svoge Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimitrov V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 28 / 100
Svoge 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar Svoge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svoge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Svoge let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Svoge lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hebar VS Svoge
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar

(Home)
11 Aug
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 3
Hebar
02 Aug
Hebar
2 : 3
Vihren
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1
Hebar
24 Jun
Hebar
0 : 1
FC Ballkani
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Svoge

(Away)
16 Aug
Svoge
0 : 1
Nesebar
09 Aug
Svoge
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
02 Aug
Dobrudzha
0 : 0
Svoge
25 Jul
Svoge
2 : 2
Montana
17 Jul
Svoge
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
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