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Hebburn Town vs Hednesford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Allan T.
28' Event
Forbes E.
45' Event
Rose A.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Hebburn Town and Hednesford finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hebburn Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hebburn Town
20%
Draws
44%
Hednesford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hednesford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Hebburn Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Hebburn Town Clean Sheet 10%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebburn Town Hednesford
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.94 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League North
Hebburn Town vs Hednesford
2:1
Feb 10, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Hebburn Town
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hebburn Town vs Hednesford
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebburn Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Allan T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forbes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hednesford Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebburn Town 30 / 100
Hednesford 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebburn Town Hednesford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hednesford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebburn Town scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Hednesford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Hebburn Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hebburn Town VS Hednesford
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebburn Town

(Home)
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4
Guiseley
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
Radcliffe
5 : 1
Hebburn Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Chester
Page 1 of 7

Hednesford

(Away)
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
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