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Hebburn Town vs Stockton

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Martin G.

AI Match Summary

Hebburn Town in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hebburn Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hebburn Town
6%
Draws
4%
Stockton
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hebburn Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Stockton haven't matched Hebburn Town's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hebburn Town's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hebburn Town Clean Sheet 20%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebburn Town Stockton
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Hebburn Town vs Stockton
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Hebburn Town
4:1
Apr 21, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hebburn Town vs Stockton
2:0
Dec 26, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Hebburn Town
1:1
Sep 23, 2022 FA Trophy
Hebburn Town vs Stockton
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebburn Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Stockton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebburn Town 85 / 100
Stockton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebburn Town Stockton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebburn Town's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Stockton let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Hebburn Town went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hebburn Town VS Stockton
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hebburn Town402310775:4179
2Hednesford402211762:3577
3United of Manchester402191065:4172
4Warrington Rylands401813959:4267
5Stockton4018121062:5063
6Lancaster4017111256:4562
7Gainsborough4016111350:4559
8Leek Town401771650:5258
9Cleethorpes4014131356:4755
10Ashton United4014111547:5453
11Ilkeston401571852:5452
12Bamber Bridge401481852:5250
13Guiseley401391846:5648
14Warrington Town4012121643:6348
15Hyde4011141558:6347
16Rushall4012111748:6147
17Whitby4010131743:5543
18Workington4010131743:5843
19Prescot Cables409151640:5042
20Morpeth401262238:5442
21Stocksbridge408122038:6536