Sport Picks
HEBC Hamburg vs Dortmund Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
DFB Pokal Volksparkstadion, Hamburg 
Match Events
33'
33'
Wrede J.
Own Goal
36'
36'
Svensson D.
Assist: Ryerson J.
41'
41'
Inacio S.
Assist: Sabitzer M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-5. This leg finished 0-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- HEBC Hamburg haven't matched Dortmund's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Dortmund's way, sitting at 90%.
- Dortmund arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Dortmund, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | HEBC Hamburg | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 DFB Pokal
HEBC Hamburg vs Dortmund
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
HEBC Hamburg Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Dortmund Compare
Top Goalscorer Inacio S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Svensson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
HEBC Hamburg 10 / 100
Dortmund 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
HEBC Hamburg Dortmund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
HEBC Hamburg's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: Dortmund conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
HEBC Hamburg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
HEBC Hamburg VS Dortmund
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
HEBC Hamburg
(Home) 02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3 HEBC Hamburg
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0 Pinneberg
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0 HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3 SC Victoria Hamburg
06 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
3 : 2 HEBC Hamburg
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0 Pinneberg
13 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3 SC Victoria Hamburg
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
28 Aug
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 1 Vorwarts-Wacker
16 Aug
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 1 HT 16
Page 1 of 4
Dortmund
(Away) 19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
09 Aug
Arsenal
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1 Dortmund
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
1/16-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach -
Augsburg -
Jeddeloh -
Hertha Berlin -
RW Essen -
RB Leipzig -
1. FC Koln -
Union Berlin -
Dresden -
Schalke -
Dortmund -
Werder Bremen -
Bochum -
Mainz -
Hamburger -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
B. Monchengladbach -
Karlsruher -
Holstein Kiel -
Hoffenheim -
Bayer Leverkusen -
Nurnberg -
Hannover -
Kaiserslautern -
Paderborn -
VfB Stuttgart -
Freiburg -
Wolfsburg -
Elversberg -
Darmstadt -
Bayern Munich -
Magdeburg -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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