Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2022/2023

Hamm United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HEBC Hamburg play Hamm United in the Oberliga Hamburg 2022/2023. HEBC Hamburg are favorites here. Recently, HEBC Hamburg averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Hamm United averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, HEBC Hamburg won 3, Hamm United won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 5, 2023 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for HEBC Hamburg and 1.69 for Hamm United. This points to a HEBC Hamburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

HEBC Hamburg

15%

Draws

23%

Hamm United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HEBC Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

HEBC Hamburg picked up more points recently compared to Hamm United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 74%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 13%

Hamm United Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	HEBC Hamburg	Hamm United
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	17	5
Draws	9	3
Losses	13	22
Goals Scored	1.69	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.56	2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg

Hamm United vs HEBC Hamburg

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 1 - 0

1:3

Nov 13, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg

HEBC Hamburg vs Hamm United

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Oct 25, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg

HEBC Hamburg vs Hamm United

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Jul 12, 2019 Club Friendly

HEBC Hamburg vs Hamm United

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HEBC Hamburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouveron R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Hamm United Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HEBC Hamburg 58 / 100

Hamm United 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

HEBC Hamburg Hamm United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEBC Hamburg Win (1)

Secondary Pick HEBC Hamburg & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.47

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

HEBC Hamburg attacking → ← attacking Hamm United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HEBC Hamburg scored in 74% of their last 39 games.

Hamm United let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

HEBC Hamburg went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Hamm United lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 18

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sasel	36	26	4	6	108:40	82
2	Dassendorf	36	23	8	5	104:37	77
3	Eimsbutteler	36	21	10	5	87:37	73
4	Altona	36	21	8	7	78:45	71
5	Niendorfer TSV	36	21	7	8	83:50	70
6	Paloma	36	19	8	9	71:54	65
7	Suderelbe	36	17	6	13	86:61	57
8	TSV Concordia	36	16	6	14	72:63	54
9	HEBC Hamburg	36	13	11	12	58:52	50
10	SC Victoria Hamburg	36	14	5	17	80:80	47
11	Harksheide	36	10	13	13	45:67	43
12	Turkiye Wilhelmsburg	36	12	5	19	65:76	41
13	Tornesch	36	10	10	16	53:89	40
14	TSV Buchholz 08	36	11	6	19	45:79	39
15	Rugenbergen	36	9	8	19	47:75	35
16	Hamm United	36	9	6	21	45:80	33
17	Hamburger III	36	9	4	23	55:91	31
18	TuS Osdorf	36	7	5	24	45:93	26
19	Curslack-Neuengamme	36	5	8	23	59:117	23