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Stadium Background

HEBC Hamburg vs Pinneberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HEBC Hamburg in this Oberliga Hamburg matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored HEBC Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
HEBC Hamburg
15%
Draws
28%
Pinneberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HEBC Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • HEBC Hamburg have won more games recently than Pinneberg.
  • Model gives HEBC Hamburg a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HEBC Hamburg here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%
Pinneberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HEBC Hamburg Pinneberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.48 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.69 5.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Pinneberg
1:0
Oct 31, 2018 Oberliga Hamburg
Pinneberg vs HEBC Hamburg
4:2
Aug 12, 2018 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Pinneberg
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HEBC Hamburg 83 / 100
Pinneberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HEBC Hamburg Pinneberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEBC Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pinneberg conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: HEBC Hamburg scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Pinneberg registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HEBC Hamburg VS Pinneberg
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

HEBC Hamburg

(Home)
02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0
Pinneberg
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0
HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3
SC Victoria Hamburg
06 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
3 : 2
HEBC Hamburg
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Pinneberg

(Away)
04 Oct
Pinneberg
2 : 1
Suderelbe
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0
Pinneberg
18 Sept
SC Victoria Hamburg
3 : 1
Pinneberg
13 Sept
Pinneberg
1 : 2
Vorwarts-Wacker
06 Sept
HT 16
5 : 1
Pinneberg
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