Sport Picks
HEBC Hamburg vs Rugenbergen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 
Match Events
15'
15'
Hartwig M.
84'
84'
Schmidt R.
87'
87'
Stech B.
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between HEBC Hamburg and Rugenbergen finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HEBC Hamburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HEBC Hamburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and HEBC Hamburg come out ahead of Rugenbergen on wins alone.
- Win probability leans HEBC Hamburg's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 15%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | HEBC Hamburg | Rugenbergen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs HEBC Hamburg
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Rugenbergen
3:0
Mar 19, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs HEBC Hamburg
2:0
Sep 30, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Rugenbergen
1:1
Feb 28, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs HEBC Hamburg
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
HEBC Hamburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Hartwig M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Schmidt R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Rugenbergen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
HEBC Hamburg 48 / 100
Rugenbergen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
HEBC Hamburg Rugenbergen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HEBC Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rugenbergen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: HEBC Hamburg scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: HEBC Hamburg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
HEBC Hamburg VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
HEBC Hamburg
(Home) 02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3 HEBC Hamburg
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0 Pinneberg
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0 HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3 SC Victoria Hamburg
06 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
3 : 2 HEBC Hamburg
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0 Pinneberg
13 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3 SC Victoria Hamburg
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
28 Aug
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 1 Vorwarts-Wacker
16 Aug
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 1 HT 16
Page 1 of 4
Rugenbergen
(Away) 17 May
Rugenbergen
1 : 1 HEBC Hamburg
11 May
Sasel
3 : 3 Rugenbergen
26 Apr
SC Victoria Hamburg
5 : 0 Rugenbergen
21 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0 Tornesch
14 Apr
Rugenbergen
0 : 3 Altona
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Sasel
3 : 3 Rugenbergen
26 Apr
SC Victoria Hamburg
5 : 0 Rugenbergen
24 Mar
ETSV Hamburg
3 : 0 Rugenbergen
03 Mar
Niendorfer TSV
2 : 2 Rugenbergen
17 Feb
Dassendorf
6 : 0 Rugenbergen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Altona | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 91:29 | 82 |
| 2 | Dassendorf | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 96:36 | 77 |
| 3 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 74:43 | 63 |
| 4 | Niendorfer TSV | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 86:51 | 62 |
| 5 | HEBC Hamburg | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 75:52 | 59 |
| 6 | Sasel | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:54 | 56 |
| 7 | Paloma | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 58:56 | 50 |
| 8 | SC Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 79:67 | 49 |
| 9 | Suderelbe | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 85:61 | 48 |
| 10 | TSV Buchholz 08 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 65:65 | 46 |
| 11 | Harksheide | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 61:63 | 46 |
| 12 | Halstenbek-Rellingen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 70:70 | 42 |
| 13 | TSV Concordia | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 71:91 | 39 |
| 14 | Alsterbruder | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 70:91 | 34 |
| 15 | Turkiye Wilhelmsburg | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 57:82 | 32 |
| 16 | Rugenbergen | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 46:84 | 30 |
| 17 | Tornesch | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 43:106 | 24 |
| 18 | Duneberg | 34 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 39:141 | 17 |
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