Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hebros vs Brestnik

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2011/2012 game between Hebros and Brestnik finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hebros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Hebros
15%
Draws
57%
Brestnik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brestnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brestnik come out ahead of Hebros on wins alone.
  • Model gives Brestnik a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Hebros Clean Sheet 10%
Brestnik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebros Brestnik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 24 20
Goals Scored 0.6 1
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2013 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs Hebros
2:0
Sep 22, 2012 Third League - South-East
Hebros vs Brestnik
1:0
May 17, 2012 Third League - South-East
Hebros vs Brestnik
3:0
Nov 13, 2011 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs Hebros
2:1
May 17, 2009 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs Hebros
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebros 22 / 100
Brestnik 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebros Brestnik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brestnik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brestnik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Brestnik's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Hebros found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Hebros VS Brestnik
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebros

(Home)
01 Jun
Rozova Dolina
3 : 0
Hebros
26 May
Hebros
0 : 3
Yambol 1915
19 May
Gigant Saedinenie
3 : 0
Hebros
15 May
Hebros
0 : 3
Vereya
09 May
Arda
0 : 3
Hebros
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Brestnik

(Away)
01 Jun
Levski Karlovo
7 : 2
Brestnik
25 May
Brestnik
1 : 3
PFC Burgas
18 May
Zagorets
2 : 3
Brestnik
15 May
Brestnik
2 : 1
Svilengrad 1921
09 May
Nesebar
2 : 1
Brestnik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)