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Hebros vs Sportist Roza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
Hebros Logo

Hebros

3 - 0
FT
Sportist Roza Logo

Sportist Roza

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2011/2012 game between Hebros and Sportist Roza finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hebros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hebros
15%
Draws
0%
Sportist Roza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hebros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportist Roza haven't matched Hebros's recent run of results.
  • Hebros are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Hebros Clean Sheet 18%
Sportist Roza Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebros Sportist Roza
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 1 5
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 0.68 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2012 Third League - South-East
Hebros vs Sportist Roza
3:0
Sep 4, 2011 Third League - South-East
Sportist Roza vs Hebros
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebros 85 / 100
Sportist Roza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebros Sportist Roza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportist Roza has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Sportist Roza has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Hebros scored in 39% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Hebros VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebros

(Home)
01 Jun
Rozova Dolina
3 : 0
Hebros
26 May
Hebros
0 : 3
Yambol 1915
19 May
Gigant Saedinenie
3 : 0
Hebros
15 May
Hebros
0 : 3
Vereya
09 May
Arda
0 : 3
Hebros
Page 1 of 7

Sportist Roza

(Away)
01 Jun
Sportist Roza
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
27 May
Sozopol
7 : 0
Sportist Roza
23 May
Spartak Plovdiv
6 : 0
Sportist Roza
20 May
Sportist Roza
2 : 5
Asenovets
05 May
Yambol 1915
5 : 1
Sportist Roza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)