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Hednesford vs North Ferriby United

England England

NPL Premier Division 2018/2019
Mon, Apr 22, 2019
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hednesford host North Ferriby United in the NPL Premier Division 2018/2019. This has Hednesford written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Hednesford at 1 goals for, 1.13 against; North Ferriby United at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Hednesford slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 1.06) back Hednesford to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hednesford
6%
Draws
4%
North Ferriby United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hednesford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hednesford come out ahead of North Ferriby United on wins alone.
  • Hednesford are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 20%
North Ferriby United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hednesford North Ferriby United
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 19 1
Draws 8 1
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2019 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs North Ferriby United
0:0
Dec 26, 2018 NPL Premier Division
North Ferriby United vs Hednesford
1:2
Feb 16, 2016 National League North
Hednesford vs North Ferriby United
1:1
Aug 22, 2015 National League North
North Ferriby United vs Hednesford
1:1
Mar 14, 2015 National League North
Hednesford vs North Ferriby United
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hednesford 85 / 100
North Ferriby United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hednesford North Ferriby United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hednesford found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

North Ferriby United has conceded goals in 100% of their last 21 outings.

North Ferriby United's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hednesford VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Farsley40286682:4090
2South Shields40276786:4187
3Warrington Town40259669:3384
4Nantwich401912970:5969
5Buxton4018121060:4566
6Gainsborough401981353:4165
7Basford Utd.401871582:6761
8Scarborough Athletic401871570:5661
9Witton Albion4016101445:4158
10Hyde401581758:5353
11Whitby401542148:5949
12Lancaster4012131542:6149
13Hednesford401391851:6348
14Stafford4011141562:7047
15Matlock401282058:7944
16Bamber Bridge4010121862:6742
17Stalybridge401192046:6242
18Grantham Town401262239:7242
19Mickleover4010111937:6141
20Marine4010102039:5440
21Workington40852738:7329
22North Ferriby United00000:00