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Hednesford vs Spalding United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hednesford host Spalding United in the National League North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Hednesford at 1.71 goals for, 1.29 against; Spalding United at 1.79 for, 1.11 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back Hednesford to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hednesford
15%
Draws
37%
Spalding United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hednesford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Spalding United at 1.79 per game, Hednesford at 1.71.
  • Hednesford are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 16%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hednesford Spalding United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.71 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hednesford 41 / 100
Spalding United 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hednesford Spalding United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hednesford found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Spalding United has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Hednesford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spalding United's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hednesford VS Spalding United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hednesford

(Home)
10 Oct
Hereford
0 : 1
Hednesford
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
Page 1 of 6

Spalding United

(Away)
10 Oct
Marine
1 : 0
Spalding United
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0
Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1
Spalding United
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
19 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Hanley Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
5 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
6 King’s Lynn 11 6 1 4 21:15 19
7 Hebburn Town 11 5 3 3 16:19 18
8 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
9 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
10 Buxton 11 5 1 5 18:19 16
11 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
12 Hednesford 11 4 3 4 18:17 15
13 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
14 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
15 Worksop 11 5 0 6 12:17 15
16 Brackley 11 4 3 4 13:20 15
17 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
18 Merthyr Town 11 3 5 3 13:12 14
19 Scarborough Athletic 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
20 Southport 11 2 3 6 13:21 9
21 Radcliffe 11 3 0 8 13:21 9
22 Telford 11 2 3 6 9:17 9
23 Darlington FC 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)