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Heegan vs Gaadiidka

Somalia Somalia

National league
Heegan Logo

Heegan

1 - 2
FT
Gaadiidka Logo

Gaadiidka

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gaadiidka in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Heegan
15%
Draws
50%
Gaadiidka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Heegan have won more games recently than Gaadiidka.
  • Win probability leans Gaadiidka's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Heegan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Heegan Clean Sheet 10%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heegan Gaadiidka
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 2.26 2.2
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Gaadiidka
1:2
Apr 28, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Heegan
1:3
Apr 21, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Gaadiidka
2:1
Jan 7, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Heegan
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Gaadiidka
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heegan 18 / 100
Gaadiidka 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heegan Gaadiidka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heegan's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Heegan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gaadiidka let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Heegan VS Gaadiidka
2.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heegan

(Home)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
Page 1 of 7

Gaadiidka

(Away)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)