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Heegan vs Horseed

Somalia Somalia

National league
Heegan Logo

Heegan

2 - 3
FT
Horseed Logo

Horseed

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Horseed in this National league matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horseed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Heegan
20%
Draws
38%
Horseed
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heegan lately — more wins on the board than Horseed.
  • Win probability leans Heegan's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Heegan Clean Sheet 18%
Horseed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heegan Horseed
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.32 2
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Horseed
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Heegan
0:0
May 9, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Heegan
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Horseed
1:0
Aug 6, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Horseed
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heegan 36 / 100
Horseed 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heegan Horseed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heegan's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Horseed has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Heegan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Heegan VS Horseed
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heegan

(Home)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
Page 1 of 7

Horseed

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)