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Heegan vs Jeenyo

Somalia Somalia

National league
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National league matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Heegan
20%
Draws
38%
Jeenyo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Jeenyo haven't matched Heegan's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Heegan Clean Sheet 20%
Jeenyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heegan Jeenyo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.27 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 National league
Jeenyo vs Heegan
0:0
May 10, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Jeenyo
3:3
May 14, 2025 National league
Jeenyo vs Heegan
2:2
Jan 30, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Jeenyo
0:1
Jul 4, 2024 National league
Jeenyo vs Heegan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heegan 32 / 100
Jeenyo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heegan Jeenyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeenyo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heegan scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Jeenyo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Heegan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heegan VS Jeenyo
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Heegan

(Home)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Jeenyo

(Away)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)