Sport Picks

Heerenveen vs Waalwijk Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2025/2026 Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

Heerenveen

3 - 1

Waalwijk

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Trenskow J.

Assist: Brouwers L.

59'

Sub

Cleonise D. In: Witteveen M.

Out: Cleonise D.

61'

Sub

Oyen L. In: Rivera M.

Out: Oyen L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Heerenveen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Heerenveen

30%

Draws

47%

Waalwijk

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Waalwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Heerenveen come out ahead of Waalwijk on wins alone.
Waalwijk are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Heerenveen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Heerenveen, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%

Heerenveen Clean Sheet 10%

Waalwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Heerenveen	Waalwijk
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	13	10
Draws	7	11
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	2.04	1.93
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 KNVB Beker

Heerenveen vs Waalwijk

3:1

May 10, 2025 Eredivisie

Waalwijk vs Heerenveen

3:1

Nov 29, 2024 Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Waalwijk

1:1

Mar 30, 2024 Eredivisie

Waalwijk vs Heerenveen

1:1

Aug 12, 2023 Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Waalwijk

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heerenveen Compare

Top Goalscorer Trenskow J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Braude O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Waalwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Uneken J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen 22 / 100

Waalwijk 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Heerenveen Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waalwijk Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waalwijk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Heerenveen found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Heerenveen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heerenveen VS Waalwijk

1.75 Goals Scored 2.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heerenveen

(Home)

19 Sept

Sparta Rotterdam

0 : 4

Heerenveen

13 Sept

Heerenveen

0 : 0

Telstar

06 Sept

Heerenveen

2 : 3

AZ Alkmaar

30 Aug

Willem II

2 : 2

Heerenveen

22 Aug

Heerenveen

0 : 2

Zwolle

Page 1 of 6

Waalwijk

(Away)

26 Sept

Roda

2 : 0

Waalwijk

18 Sept

Waalwijk

6 : 1

Maastricht

11 Sept

Jong Ajax

0 : 2

Waalwijk

04 Sept

Waalwijk

4 : 2

NAC Breda

28 Aug

Waalwijk

2 : 2

Jong PSV

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Helmond Sport -

TBD -

Zwolle -

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

Aalsmeer 2

HZVV Hoogeveen 4

TBD -

Excelsior Maassluis -

TBD -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Ajax -

Walcheren 1

VV Noordwijk 3

TBD -

Hardenberg -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

TBD -

Utrecht -

USV Hercules 4

GOES 0

TBD -

Spakenburg -

RKVV Erp 0

VV DOVO 4

TEC 3

SV Poortugaal 2

Rohda Raalte 4

HVV Hollandia 1

SteDoCo 0

DVS '33 Ermelo 2

TBD -

Twente -

SV Juliana 31 0

Meerssen 2

Gemert 2

Huizen 1

TBD -

Sittard -

Harkemase Boys 0

Sparta Nijkerk 1

VV Kloetinge 3

DVO 0

TBD -

Almere City -

HSV Hoek 6

Rijnvogels 4

Blauw Geel 2

VVOG 1

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Lisse 1

Westlandia 0

VV Zwaluwen 1

Urk 2

TBD -

Telstar -

VVSB 1

Capelle 2

SVV Scheveningen 2

Staphorst 0

TBD -

Roda -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda -

TBD -

Heracles -

De Foresters 2

VV Scherpenzeel 3

VV Hoogeveen 6

Velocitas 1

TBD -

FC Emmen -

TOGB 1

RKSV UDI 19 3

Sportlust 4

Sportclub 25 1

Kozakken Boys 4

Kampong 0

TBD -

Barendrecht -

De Treffers -

TBD -

RKAV Volendam -

TBD -

Maastricht -

Eemdijk 4

Dongen 0

DZOH Emmen 2

Excelsior 31 5

TBD -

AFC -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Willem II -

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Groningen -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Heino 3

Groene Ster 4

IJsselmeervogels 0

Genemuiden 1

RKSV Halsteren 3

ACV Assen 1

AWC 0

ASWH 2

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Den Haag -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

PSV -

TBD -

ADO 20 Heemskerk 0

Roosendaal 2

TBD -

GVVV -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo -

TBD -

Heerenveen -

Olde Veste 0

HSC '21 3

't Zand 4

Mierlo-Hout 2

Koninklijke HFC -

TBD -

UNA 1

ARC 2

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Cambuur -

1/64-finals

Helmond Sport -

TBD -

Zwolle -

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

HZVV Hoogeveen 1

Excelsior Maassluis 5

TBD -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Ajax -

VV Noordwijk 0

Hardenberg 2

TBD -

TOP Oss -

TBD -

Utrecht -

USV Hercules 1

Spakenburg 3

VV DOVO 1

TEC 0

Rohda Raalte 1

DVS '33 Ermelo 0

TBD -

Twente -

Meerssen 0

Gemert 1

TBD -

Sittard -

Sparta Nijkerk 4

VV Kloetinge 3

TBD -

Almere City -

HSV Hoek 1

Blauw Geel 0

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Lisse 4

Urk 1

TBD -

Telstar -

Capelle 5

SVV Scheveningen 1

TBD -

Roda -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda -

TBD -

Heracles -

VV Scherpenzeel 3

VV Hoogeveen 4

TBD -

FC Emmen -

RKSV UDI 19 0

Sportlust 1

Kozakken Boys 2

Barendrecht 3

De Treffers 6

RKAV Volendam 3

TBD -

Maastricht -

Eemdijk 2

Excelsior 31 1

TBD -

AFC -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Willem II -

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Groningen -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Groene Ster 1

Genemuiden 2

RKSV Halsteren 3

ASWH 2

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Den Haag -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

PSV -

TBD -

Roosendaal 0

GVVV 1

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo -

TBD -

Heerenveen -

HSC '21 3

't Zand 1

Koninklijke HFC 5

ARC 0

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Cambuur -

1/32-finals

Helmond Sport 1

Zwolle 4

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

Excelsior Maassluis 1

Excelsior 0

TBD -

Ajax -

Hardenberg 0

TOP Oss 2

TBD -

Utrecht -

Spakenburg 5

VV DOVO 1

Rohda Raalte 1

Twente 4

Gemert 0

Sittard 1

Sparta Nijkerk 0

Almere City 2

HSV Hoek 3

Eindhoven FC 2

Lisse 0

Telstar 5

Capelle 1

Roda 5

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda 1

Heracles 4

VV Hoogeveen 1

FC Emmen 0

Sportlust 1

Barendrecht 0

De Treffers 3

Maastricht 1

Eemdijk 1

AFC 2

Rijnsburgse Boys 2

Nijmegen 3

Willem II 7

Dordrecht 0

Sparta Rotterdam 5

Groningen 2

Quick Boys 1

FC Volendam 2

Genemuiden 1

RKSV Halsteren 0

Den Bosch 4

Den Haag 3

Katwijk 2

Vitesse 1

PSV -

TBD -

GVVV 4

De Graafschap 2

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo 0

Heerenveen 3

HSC '21 3

Koninklijke HFC 0

Waalwijk 3

Cambuur 2

1/16-finals

Zwolle 1

AZ Alkmaar 3

Excelsior Maassluis 2

Ajax 7

TOP Oss 0

Utrecht 2

Spakenburg 3

Twente 6

Sittard 2

Almere City 3

HSV Hoek 1

Telstar 4

Roda 1

G.A. Eagles 2

Heracles 4

VV Hoogeveen 1

Sportlust 0

De Treffers 1

AFC 1

Nijmegen 3

Willem II 1

Sparta Rotterdam 5

FC Volendam 2

Genemuiden 0

Den Bosch 2

Katwijk 1

PSV 3

GVVV 0

Feyenoord 2

Heerenveen 3

HSC '21 0

Waalwijk 9

1/8-finals

AZ Alkmaar 6

Ajax 0

Utrecht 1

Twente 2

Almere City 1

Telstar 3

G.A. Eagles 3

Heracles 2

De Treffers 1

Nijmegen 2

Sparta Rotterdam 1

FC Volendam 2

Den Bosch 1

PSV 4

Heerenveen 3

Waalwijk 1

Quarter-finals

AZ Alkmaar 2

Twente 1

Telstar 2

G.A. Eagles 1

Nijmegen 1

FC Volendam 0

PSV 4

Heerenveen 1

Semi-finals

AZ Alkmaar 2

Telstar 1

Nijmegen 3

PSV 2

Final

AZ Alkmaar 5

Nijmegen 1

Heerenveen vs Waalwijk Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands

Heerenveen

Waalwijk

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Heerenveen Compare

Waalwijk Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Heerenveen

Waalwijk

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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