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Stadium Background

Heerenveen vs Zwolle

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Namli Y.
Assist: Kostons K.
16' Event
Gooijer T.
Assist: Namli Y.
30' Event
Rivera M.
Assist: van Overeem J.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Heerenveen and Zwolle finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heerenveen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Heerenveen
6%
Draws
4%
Zwolle
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heerenveen come out ahead of Zwolle on wins alone.
  • Model gives Heerenveen a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 17%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heerenveen Zwolle
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Zwolle
4:2
Nov 28, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Heerenveen
2:1
Oct 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Heerenveen vs Zwolle
4:1
Feb 16, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Heerenveen
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Zwolle
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heerenveen Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nordas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Zwolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Namli Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gooijer T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen 84 / 100
Zwolle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heerenveen Zwolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zwolle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Heerenveen scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Heerenveen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heerenveen VS Zwolle
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heerenveen

(Home)
17 Jul
Club Brugge
2 : 3
Heerenveen
03 Jul
Heerenveen
7 : 2
De Graafschap
21 May
Utrecht
3 : 2
Heerenveen
17 May
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Ajax
11 May
NAC Breda
2 : 0
Heerenveen
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Zwolle

(Away)
18 Jul
Zwolle
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
11 Jul
Zwolle
0 : 1
Al Jazira
17 May
Zwolle
0 : 2
Feyenoord
10 May
Sittard
3 : 2
Zwolle
03 May
Zwolle
1 : 0
Heracles
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV342734101:4584
2Feyenoord34198770:4465
3Nijmegen341611777:5359
4Twente341513659:4058
5Ajax341414662:4156
6Utrecht341581155:4253
7AZ Alkmaar3414101058:5152
8Heerenveen341491157:5351
9Groningen341461449:4548
10Sparta Rotterdam341271540:6243
11Sittard341161749:6339
12G.A. Eagles348141254:5338
13Excelsior341081643:5638
14Telstar349101549:5537
15Zwolle349101544:7137
16FC Volendam34881835:5532
17NAC Breda346111735:5829
18Heracles34542535:8519
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)