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Heerenveen vs Zwolle

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Buitink T.
47' Event
Vente D.
49' Event
Trenskow J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Heerenveen and Zwolle finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heerenveen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Heerenveen
6%
Draws
4%
Zwolle
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heerenveen come out ahead of Zwolle on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Heerenveen taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 19%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heerenveen Zwolle
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Zwolle
4:2
Nov 28, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Heerenveen
2:1
Oct 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Heerenveen vs Zwolle
4:1
Feb 16, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Heerenveen
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Zwolle
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heerenveen Compare

Top Goalscorer Trenskow J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vente D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zwolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Buitink T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen 85 / 100
Zwolle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heerenveen Zwolle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zwolle has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Heerenveen scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Heerenveen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heerenveen VS Zwolle
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%